Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 5.280530 5.763111 6.289805 6.910929 7.628083 8.435887 9.422892
2025-03-02 4.397720 5.026587 5.763618 6.704607 7.894283 9.377509 11.415969
2025-03-09 3.891553 4.583789 5.434407 6.581885 8.131642 10.220665 13.383367
2025-03-16 3.562199 4.293315 5.225294 6.539147 8.413548 11.117179 15.590806
2025-03-23 3.380052 4.159249 5.186471 6.695855 8.966953 12.475126 18.859391
2025-03-30 3.118357 3.890628 4.931999 6.506384 8.966052 12.960868 20.783243
2025-04-06 2.897346 3.656531 4.699774 6.315595 8.923635 13.353073 22.638116
2025-04-13 2.709468 3.453010 4.491465 6.134104 8.863196 13.690558 24.483756
2025-04-20 2.577325 3.317742 4.369315 6.069801 8.983410 14.371311 27.335607
2025-04-27 2.516617 3.279117 4.384367 6.221009 9.492550 15.901764 32.952630
2025-05-04 2.466092 3.250808 4.410865 6.390791 10.057748 17.685391 40.360912
2025-05-11 2.375888 3.157666 4.329648 6.368798 10.255168 18.714791 46.211908
2025-05-18 2.298292 3.085713 4.286912 6.428355 10.663056 20.454045 56.565145
2025-05-25 2.175239 2.939064 4.117079 6.249879 10.569265 20.965127 62.903025
2025-06-01 2.076918 2.824955 3.992011 6.140019 10.603774 21.835600 72.170461
2025-06-08 2.000873 2.741069 3.910381 6.101555 10.787063 23.190113 86.393342
2025-06-15 1.963566 2.715619 3.923588 6.242820 11.401453 26.082506 117.656493
2025-06-22 1.875277 2.604195 3.783508 6.072011 11.252723 26.497027 131.790159
2025-06-29 1.793101 2.499018 3.648368 5.899762 11.076822 26.777464 146.368152
2025-07-06 1.717884 2.401996 3.522278 5.735672 10.899399 27.010166 162.264699
2025-07-13 1.664553 2.338416 3.451178 5.677478 10.983211 28.259665 198.110284
2025-07-20 1.644675 2.328633 3.473924 5.814274 11.599273 31.918941 307.486287
2025-07-27 1.627864 2.322927 3.503247 5.967681 12.295394 36.434043 542.595656